Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#255
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#226
Pace70.9#121
Improvement-4.3#328

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#149
First Shot-1.0#207
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#47
Layup/Dunks-6.8#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#21
Freethrows-0.3#218
Improvement+0.2#178

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#330
First Shot-3.6#283
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#350
Layups/Dunks-3.1#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement-4.5#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 5.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 8.0
Quad 33.0 - 7.03.0 - 15.0
Quad 48.0 - 5.011.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 245   @ Western Michigan L 76-89 38%     0 - 1 -15.3 +0.4 -15.2
  Nov 09, 2018 70   @ Temple L 67-83 8%     0 - 2 -6.1 -2.2 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2018 69   @ Butler L 63-84 8%     0 - 3 -11.0 -9.6 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2018 273   Loyola Maryland W 91-63 64%     1 - 3 +18.8 +14.2 +5.1
  Nov 20, 2018 112   Bowling Green W 82-67 25%     2 - 3 +16.4 +7.2 +8.9
  Nov 24, 2018 151   @ Eastern Michigan W 78-74 19%     3 - 3 +7.7 +15.2 -7.1
  Nov 28, 2018 141   Kent St. L 72-76 33%     3 - 4 -5.0 -1.4 -3.7
  Dec 01, 2018 118   @ Akron L 59-71 13%     3 - 5 -5.5 -2.8 -3.2
  Dec 04, 2018 63   @ Dayton L 59-98 8%     3 - 6 -28.5 -10.6 -17.4
  Dec 05, 2018 68   @ Toledo L 57-101 8%     3 - 7 -33.7 -11.3 -22.0
  Dec 15, 2018 179   Ohio L 61-63 43%     3 - 8 -5.8 -11.8 +6.0
  Dec 21, 2018 60   @ Xavier L 55-69 7%     3 - 9 -3.1 -10.7 +6.9
  Dec 28, 2018 266   @ Youngstown St. W 78-66 42%     4 - 9 1 - 0 +8.6 +3.3 +5.7
  Dec 30, 2018 289   @ Cleveland St. W 73-61 46%     5 - 9 2 - 0 +7.5 -2.2 +10.0
  Jan 03, 2019 132   Wright St. W 79-58 31%     6 - 9 3 - 0 +20.8 +8.4 +12.8
  Jan 05, 2019 114   Northern Kentucky L 73-95 26%     6 - 10 3 - 1 -20.8 +2.0 -23.6
  Jan 10, 2019 218   Green Bay W 101-83 52%     7 - 10 4 - 1 +12.1 +12.2 -2.4
  Jan 12, 2019 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 93-84 69%     8 - 10 5 - 1 -1.8 +10.7 -12.9
  Jan 19, 2019 187   Oakland L 73-79 45%     8 - 11 5 - 2 -10.3 -6.7 -3.4
  Jan 24, 2019 208   @ Illinois-Chicago L 67-79 29%     8 - 12 5 - 3 -11.9 +0.0 -12.6
  Jan 26, 2019 207   @ IUPUI L 65-80 29%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -14.9 -8.8 -6.0
  Jan 31, 2019 289   Cleveland St. W 78-64 67%     9 - 13 6 - 4 +4.0 -0.3 +4.5
  Feb 02, 2019 266   Youngstown St. L 70-72 63%     9 - 14 6 - 5 -10.9 -8.7 -2.2
  Feb 07, 2019 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-97 13%     9 - 15 6 - 6 -25.3 -5.9 -19.3
  Feb 09, 2019 132   @ Wright St. L 60-83 16%     9 - 16 6 - 7 -17.7 -10.1 -7.4
  Feb 14, 2019 296   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-84 49%     10 - 16 7 - 7 +0.8 +12.0 -11.4
  Feb 16, 2019 218   @ Green Bay L 73-82 31%     10 - 17 7 - 8 -9.4 -5.4 -3.4
  Feb 23, 2019 187   @ Oakland L 75-95 26%     10 - 18 7 - 9 -18.8 +1.0 -19.9
  Feb 28, 2019 207   IUPUI W 87-85 50%     11 - 18 8 - 9 -3.4 +16.4 -19.7
  Mar 02, 2019 208   Illinois-Chicago L 71-80 50%     11 - 19 8 - 10 -14.4 -6.4 -7.5
  Mar 06, 2019 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 88-99 13%     11 - 20 -4.3 +14.2 -18.1
Projected Record 11.0 - 20.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%